Research:Mother Harblist's Fruity Flyer

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Spell stages

Data

Merging Clover's old research data with my own:

Summoning
  • bonus - chance of success
  • 203 - 0.05
  • 208 - 0.15
  • 214 - 0.25
  • 220 - 0.35
  • 223 - 0.45
Chanting
  • 0-251 - 0
  • 254 - 0.05
  • 256 - 0.15
  • 268 - 0.35
Charming
  • 0-201 - 0
  • 202 - 0.05
  • 210 - 0.15
  • 214 - 0.25
  • 221 - 0.35
  • 226 - 0.45
  • 231 - 0.55
  • 241 - 0.65
Dancing
  • 0-271 - 0
  • 274 - 0.05
  • 361 - 0.85

Analysis

Curve fitting gives:

Summoning
  • Equation: Y = 0.02X - 3.82
  • Error: 1.43%
  • Parameters: threshold-low = 200, threshold-high = 253
Chanting
  • Equation: Y = ln(X - 210.56) - 3.7
  • Error: 1.97%
  • Parameters: cutoff = 250, half-life = 26
Charming
  • Equation: Y = 0.0166X - 3.31
  • Error: 2.11%
  • Parameters: threshold-low = 200, threshold-high = 260
Dancing
  • Equation: Y = ln(X - 203.44) - 4.21
  • Error: 0.27%
  • Parameters: cutoff = 271, half-life = 44

--Chat 14:00, 11 July 2009 (UTC)