Research:Mother Harblist's Fruity Flyer

Spell stages

Data

Merging Clover's old research data with my own:

Summoning

• bonus - chance of success
• 203 - 0.05
• 208 - 0.15
• 214 - 0.25
• 220 - 0.35
• 223 - 0.45

Chanting

• 0-251 - 0
• 254 - 0.05
• 256 - 0.15
• 268 - 0.35

Charming

• 0-201 - 0
• 202 - 0.05
• 210 - 0.15
• 214 - 0.25
• 221 - 0.35
• 226 - 0.45
• 231 - 0.55
• 241 - 0.65

Dancing

• 0-271 - 0
• 274 - 0.05
• 361 - 0.85

Analysis

Curve fitting gives:

Summoning

• Equation: Y = 0.02X - 3.82
• Error: 1.43%
• Parameters: threshold-low = 200, threshold-high = 253

Chanting

• Equation: Y = ln(X - 210.56) - 3.7
• Error: 1.97%
• Parameters: cutoff = 250, half-life = 26

Charming

• Equation: Y = 0.0166X - 3.31
• Error: 2.11%
• Parameters: threshold-low = 200, threshold-high = 260

Dancing

• Equation: Y = ln(X - 203.44) - 4.21
• Error: 0.27%
• Parameters: cutoff = 271, half-life = 44

--Chat 14:00, 11 July 2009 (UTC)